By analyzing the DNA from bones and teeth recovered from sites around Fell’s cave, the team showed that many other animals went extinct alongside the horses and sloths that Bird discovered. These included a species of llama and a giant subspecies of jaguar.
During the process, they used carbon-dating to check how old the fossils were. “We noticed that the dates coming back were grouping together quite tightly,” says Cooper. The llama and jaguar, along with the ground sloth, saber-toothed cat, short-faced bear, and South American horse all lived until around 12,300 years ago, and then disappeared. It was as if they had simultaneously crashed into an invisible wall. They all existed, and then they all didn’t. Why?
Humans seemed like unlikely culprits. Archaeological evidence from other caves show that people were living in southern Chile by at least 14,600 years ago, and co-existed with the megabeasts for a couple of millennia. “You’ve got humans knocking at the gates of Patagonia well before the extinction,” says Cooper. “It’s not a blitzkrieg. It’s anything but.”
A changing climate was a more likely suspect. The team noticed that the giant beasts went extinct a few centuries after a prolonged cold spell that gripped Patagonia between 14,400 and 12,700 years ago. As the glaciers retreated and temperatures rose, the giant beasts disappeared. “That’s a clear signal. Humans arrive. It gets cold. Nothing happens for 2,000 years,” says Cooper. But once temperatures started climbing again, “bam, the megafauna are dead very quickly.”
While South America was going through its cold spell, North America was warm. And when the south heated up, the north cooled. The two sister continents see-sawed in climate but in both cases, the big animals disappeared during the warming stints. “It’s as close as you can get to a replicated experiment,” says Cooper. “Cold equals okay, warming equals death.”
Why did warming climates doom the megafauna? It’s not clear, but Cooper has some guesses. The rising temperatures brought summer droughts, variable rainfall, and other weather anomalies. They also fueled the rapid growth of forests, which broke up the open habitats that these large animals were used to.
And within that changing landscape, there were people, armed with bows and spears. They may have grown faster, or roamed over greater distances. Their populations could have boomed. They might have found it easier to kill the megafauna, which had been herded into ever narrower ranges. And in a newly fragmented world, there was no way for distant populations of hunted beasts to replace those that had been hunted out.
This fits with a growing sense from other parts of the world that neither climate change nor humans was solely responsible for killing the megafauna. Instead, they acted synergistically. “Warming might be the magic ingredient that activates or accelerates our natural destructive tendencies,” says Cooper. “Or cold shuts us down.” Either way, climate change cocked the gun, and people pulled the trigger.