Washington, D.C. (October 6, 2016)—Hillary Clinton continues to hold a narrow line against Donald Trump, bolstered by a modest bump following the first presidential debate, according to a before-and-after PRRI/The Atlantic survey released Thursday. In the days following the debate, Clinton’s support among likely voters jumped four percentage points to 47 percent, the survey showed, while Trump’s support fell to 41 percent
The survey also reveals an electorate less interested in voting than in past years. Only 59 percent are positive they’ll cast a ballot, and more than a quarter told pollsters they’d put their odds of voting at 50-50 or less. Two-thirds of respondents said Trump has only a weak grasp of the average American’s problems, while 48 percent felt the same when it comes to Clinton’s understanding of the challenges confronting their communities.
Reporting on the survey's topline findings by The Atlantic’s Andrew McGill is online at The Atlantic’s Politics & Policy section. A full look at the findings can be found on PRRI’s website. All citations should be attributed to PRRI/The Atlantic.
The survey also explored likely voter breakdown based on distance of voters’ hometown to their current residence. Clinton still lags with white working class likely voters (32 percent vs. 56 percent for Trump). Portions of white likely voters who still live in their hometown show a strong preference toward Donald Trump (57 percent vs. 31 percent); and nearly half (46 percent) of those who live more than a two-hour drive away from their hometown are supporting Clinton compared to 40 percent who are supporting Trump.
The survey is the second in a partnership between The Atlantic and PRRI. The first was released earlier this year and examined the primary field across both parties. An additional poll will be released next week.
Reporting from The Atlantic:
"Presidential Debate Boosts Clinton's Numbers as Trump Trails"
"Many of Trump's Supports Never Left Their Hometown"
Analysis and Questionnaire on PRRI's website:
The survey was designed and conducted by PRRI in partnership with The Atlantic. Results of the survey were based on bilingual (Spanish and English) RDD telephone interviews conducted between September 28, 2016, and October 2, 2016, by professional interviewers under the direction of SSRS. Interviews were conducted among a random sample of 1,017 adults 18 years of age or older living in the United States (605 respondents were interviewed on a cell phone). The selection of respondents within households was accomplished by randomly requesting to speak with the youngest adult male or female currently living in the household
The margin of error for the survey is +/- 3.6 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. The design effect for the survey is 1.3. In addition to sampling error, surveys may also be subject to error or bias due to question wording, context and order effects.
About The Atlantic
Founded in 1857 and today one of the fastest growing media platforms in the industry, The Atlantic has throughout its history championed the power of big ideas and continues to shape global debate across print, digital, events, and video platforms. With its award-winning digital presence TheAtlantic.com and CityLab.com on cities around the world, The Atlantic is a multimedia forum on the most critical issues of our times—from politics, business, urban affairs, and the economy, to technology, arts, and culture. The Atlantic is the 2016 National Magazine of the Year.
The Atlantic is the flagship property of Washington, D.C.-based publisher Atlantic Media. Its president is Bob Cohn.
About Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI)
Public Religion Research Institute is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit, nonpartisan organization specializing in research at the intersection of religion, values, and public life.
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