Even though Gates had been expected to testify against Manafort, his testimony is stunning and a blow to Manafort, though the defendant has always faced an uphill battle in court. In filings before the trial, prosecutors had already tipped their hand, showing copious documentary evidence suggesting violation of laws. Manafort’s attorneys have said he was innocent, and that any problems with his tax returns were inadvertent, the result of an excessively complicated system.
But Gates’s account undermines that, as does testimony last week from Manafort’s accountant that she had helped falsify tax and bank documents, along with a bookkeeper’s statement that Manafort was intimately involved in tracking “every penny” of his finances.
Both Gates and the accountant, Cynthia Laporta, are vulnerable to attacks from defense lawyers. Laporta was granted immunity in return for testifying to committing crimes. Gates pleaded guilty and will receive a lesser sentence if he cooperates fully with prosecutors, which Manafort’s attorneys will likely argue gives him an incentive to attack his former boss. In addition, he has already acknowledged lying to the FBI. By having him testify about his own bad behavior, including the theft, prosecutors likely hoped to rip off the Band-Aid and mitigate any damage to his credibility that defense attorneys might hope to deal.
Yet whatever damage Gates does to Manafort is a bit of a sideshow or warm-up act. Monday’s testimony alone would be just another notable anecdote in a run-of-the-mill white-collar trial if not for the case’s connection to Trump and the presidential campaign. It’s impossible to know yet what Gates’s testimony means about Mueller’s investigations into Trump campaign collusion with Russia or allegations that the president obstructed justice by trying to stifle inquiries about it.
But Gates’s intimate knowledge of Manafort’s finances, and his hand in Manafort’s alleged crimes, could portend trouble for Trump. As my colleague Franklin Foer has reported, Manafort stands accused of using his volunteer role on the Trump campaign to try to repair his broken finances and settle up debts to a Russian oligarch—in effect, selling out the U.S. electoral process for his own financial gain. Such a quid pro quo would also reflect poorly on the president, who hired Manafort despite ample warning signs. Manafort was also present for the controversial June 2016 meeting at Trump Tower where, along with the president’s son and son-in-law, he expected to receive damaging information about Hillary Clinton via the Russian government.
The double damage of the president’s Trump Tower admission
Gates served as Manafort’s deputy campaign manager on the Trump team, then stayed on after his mentor departed. He was then the deputy chair of the president’s inaugural committee, and later helped found an outside nonprofit designed to boost the president’s policies. Manafort refused to cooperate with prosecutors even as they delivered more and more detailed indictments, but Gates’s detailed knowledge of Manafort’s work suggests he can testify in detail about Manafort’s work during the campaign. And under the terms of his plea deal, Gates has to deliver that information if he wants to receive a reduced sentence.