GRAYSON, KY - SEPTEMBER 8: Rowan County Clerk of Courts Kim Davis (R) stands with Republican presidential candidate Mike Huckabee (L) in front of the Carter County Detention Center on September 8, 2015 in Grayson, Kentucky. Davis was ordered to jail last week for contempt of court after refusing a court order to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples. Ty Wright AFP/Getty

Q: With conservative candidates visiting Kim Davis, will gay marriage return as a 2016 issue?

DEMOCRATS (78 VOTES)

Yes: 44%
No: 56%

Yes

“It will be in the Republican primaries. And if they are stupid enough, in the general.”

“Yes. It will be a wedge issue used by Democrats to win the suburban women vote.”

“It never left.”

“These candidates are forcing the issue, and they will face its consequences—good perhaps in the primaries and likely less so in the general.”

“Yes, but it will be couched as ‘religious freedom’ and Supreme Court overreach, so Republicans don’t appear to be as blatantly anti-gay as they are.”

No

“Once the primaries are behind us, the GOP will move onto other issues. The Davis position is overwhelmingly unpopular—as you can see by the GOP candidates who are looking the other way.”

“Not beyond the South Carolina primary; in the rest of the 49 states, it’s a settled issue.”

“I assume that the eventual nominee has seen the public-opinion polls and will know it’s not a winning strategy.”

“This is only a relevant issue for those candidates looking to get out of single digits in the Repub primaries.”

“Dangerous base mobilization issue for Republicans as it is a turnoff for many persuadable voters. It would only be useful in races they should win anyway.”

“Republicans might debate it, but it won’t go anywhere in November.”

Q: With conservative candidates visiting Kim Davis, will gay marriage return as a 2016 issue?

REPUBLICANS (84 VOTES)
Yes: 26%
No: 74%

Yes

“Below the radar, but the culture wars continue.”

“Democrats will pound on it. GOP will probably fumble the response.”

“Unfortunately for the GOP, yes.”

“The Supreme Court’s essentially political decision will likely have decades of political ramifications, just as Roe v. Wade has.”

“It has. Virtually every candidate has been asked about it and has had to answer. Both sides see political advantage in the issue. End of day, it’s just food for both bases. Not determinative.”

No

“Evangelicals will remember, but gay marriage is fading rapidly as an issue. It won’t be mentioned directly in the 2016 general.”

“Not decisive issue in primary. Most candidates support traditional marriage and individual religious freedom.”

“Not even Christian conservatives think this will be a significant caucus issue in 2016.”

“Sure as hell hope not.”

“That ship has sailed, the Supreme Court has spoken. Dems will try to stir the pot, but the Republican nominee will demur.”

“90 percent of the country has moved on on this issue, either because they support gay marriage or don’t oppose it.”

. . . . . . . . . .

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