John Boehner speaks during a news conference after a House Republican Conference meeting.Bloomberg AFP/Getty

Q: As conservative House members plan another coup, how likely is it that John Boehner remains the Republican leader in 2017?

DEMOCRATS (78 VOTES)
Very likely: 24%
Somewhat likely: 50%
Not at all likely: 26%

Very likely

“At this point, he seems to gain strength from the fight.”

“It will get ugly, but there’s no real alternative. The question is when Boehner has had enough and quits.”

“Unless Mike Huckabee or Ted Cruz is elected president, Boehner is not likely to be ousted. They have less clout now than they’ve had in six years.”

Somewhat likely

“He can win again, but does he want to?”

“If he deals with the big issues with Democrats, only Nancy Pelosi can save him.”

“The real issue is why [he would] want the worst job in D.C.”

Not at all likely

“There are no adults in the House. Someone or some group of members have got to restore order.”

“This was always going to be his last term.”

“If they lose the presidency, they will be in take-no-prisoners mode. If they win the presidency, they will be in take-no-prisoners mode.”

“He’s run his course.”

Q: As conservative House members plan another coup, how likely is it that John Boehner remains the Republican leader in 2017?

REPUBLICANS (83 VOTES)
Very likely: 37%
Somewhat likely: 25%
Not at all likely: 38%

Very likely

“So far, these ill-advised moves don’t even constitute a coup, just incoherent grumblings.”

“These ouster efforts always look better in theory than they end up in practice.”

“Most House Republicans ... understand that John Boehner is a courageous leader who deserves better than what he is receiving from a loud minority.”

“A rebellion with wiffle bats and plastic forks.”

Somewhat likely

“He will never lose an election, but he might get tired of the job.”

“Boehner is in some trouble, but he’ll survive.”

“Trumpism, even if temporary, suggests somewhat fewer mainstream conservatives will be winning primaries next year. What a thankless job for Boehner.”

“Tough question. He’s a survivor.”

“At some point, wouldn’t he rather golf and have fun than deal with petulant ideologues?”

“He keeps the job if wants to, but I think he would retire rather than sit behind President Hillary Clinton (or President Trump, for that matter).”

“And if it happens, Republicans will sorely regret it. [Rep. Kevin] McCarthy is not ready for the top slot, and so-called real conservatives will lead the party back into the minority in record time.”

Not at all likely

“Whether he is toppled or leaves on his own, it is unlikely he serves another term as speaker.”

“Time for him to hit the golf course. Conservatives want blood, and this time, they will not rest until change occurs.”

“He’s done because he wants to be done, not [because] of a coup attempt.”

“Sad irony is they won’t get what they want by pushing Boehner out. Look over to the Senate to see where your real issues are. Time would be better spent making a stronger Senate.”

. . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chávez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk Van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to the editor or write to letters@theatlantic.com.