"Kirk has followed the McConnell line too often to achieve the independent image he will need to survive Hillary's down-ballot tide in Illinois."
"If Governor Maggie Hassan challenges her with Hillary Clinton topping the ticket in NH, she is toast."
"Out of step with state, undistinguished record."
"In a presidential election year, a big turnout of the ascendant majority of young and black voters should send Hillary Clinton to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. and Rob Portman to K St."
Q: Which incumbent U.S. senator is the most likely to lose his or her reelection in 2016?
REPUBLICANS (63 votes)Mark Kirk: 43%Ron Johnson: 32%Michael Bennet: 13%Pat Toomey: 11%Kelly Ayotte: 1%Rob Portman: 0%Richard Burr: 0%John McCain: 0%
"Health issues aside, Kirk faces an uphill climb in very blue Illinois."
"The worst place to run, and, yes, the stroke matters if they lose control of the perception that he's recovering."
"Illinois continues to be a challenging state for Republicans, even an incumbent such as Kirk."
"Bluest state in play."
"He's the best we could possibly have, but even that won't be enough."
"Won't be for a lack of effort, but it's over."
"Tough state. Tough opponent. Zero accomplishments."
"Even with Walker at the top of the ticket, defending this seat creates the greatest structural and tactical challenge in the cycle."
"He's the most ideologically out of sync with his state."
"He has always been an accidental fluke, and that reality catches up with him in 2016."
"New Hampshire is going blue in the presidential race, and if Governor Hassan runs, Ayotte will likely come up short."
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Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chávez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.