U.S. Senator-elect Cory Gardner (R-CO) speaks with friends and family behind him after being declared the winner in the race at the Colorado Republican party's election night event at the Denver Tech Center Hyatt on November 4, 2014. Gardner defeated incumbent U.S. Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO).National Journal

This article is from the archive of our partner National Journal

Q: Which new Senate Republican is most likely to make a big impact in his or her first year?

This poll was conducted prior to the Louisiana Senate runoff.

DEMOCRATS (67 votes)

Sen.-elect Cory Gardner (Marc Piscotty/Getty Images)Cory Gardner: 30%Joni Ernst: 28%Shelley Moore Capito: 13%Tom Cotton: 10%Thom Tillis: 6%James Lankford: 4%Dan Sullivan: 3%Steve Daines: 2%David Perdue: 2%Ben Sasse: 2%Mike Rounds: 0%

Cory Gardner

"He came from nowhere to win a very tough race. He is smooth and crafty—a sunny exterior masking a tea-party warrior. He is going to be trouble."

"He's the best of a mediocre bunch."

"Has the best chance of helping alter the political position of his state and region."

Joni Ernst

"Joni Ernst has star power and could be a reasonable conservative counter to Elizabeth Warren."

"Properly staffed, she could be a force."

Shelley Moore Capito

"Congresswoman Capito, because of her personality and approach, is likely the most suited for success working with members of both parties."

"Capito has the savvy and experience to vault from the back bench to greater heights. It's a lackluster freshman class, but she has a chance to shine, particularly on energy issues."

Tom Cotton

"He's savvy, won with a big margin, and seems to be conveniently forgetting his tea-party origins."

"Tom Cotton has an interesting personal story, and his media skills continue to improve."

Thom Tillis

"So far, he's the only one who's actually said something noteworthy."

Q: Which new Senate Republican is most likely to make a big impact in his or her first year?

This poll was conducted prior to the Louisiana Senate runoff.

REPUBLICANS (84 VOTES)

Cory Gardner: 30%Joni Ernst: 22%Tom Cotton: 17%Shelley Moore Capito: 13%James Lankford: 6%Ben Sasse: 4%Thom Tillis: 4%David Perdue: 2%Steve Daines: 1%Dan Sullivan: 1%Mike Rounds: 0%

Cory Gardner

"Gardner found the right formula to win in a purple state. Hopefully he can help moderate the destructive positions and tactics of the Ted Cruz faction."

"Cory is a happy conservative with legislative experience and first-rate political skills."

"Articulate, conservative, and well liked. A great recipe for success."

Joni Ernst

"Her Midwest common sense coupled with military/foreign policy experience make Ernst a rising star to watch."

"GOP needs to have the face and personality of the party look like hers."

Tom Cotton

"Cotton has a good combination of legislative, executive, and military experience—and confidence in his ideas."

"Brilliant guy, already on the ground running."

Shelley Moore Capito

"Talented, experienced, female."

"Reasonable, grown-up, experienced, and capable of reaching across the aisle."

James Lankford

"A younger Rob Portman and very savvy. Knows how to navigate through the shoals of legislative gridlock and get things accomplished."

Ben Sasse

"None are a stronger combination of brains and D.C. experience. He won't be the most popular but will propose the best ideas."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders  Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders  Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

Q: Which new Senate Republican is most likely to make a big impact in his or her first year?

This poll was conducted prior to the Louisiana Senate runoff.

DEMOCRATS (67 votes)

Sen.-elect Cory Gardner (Marc Piscotty/Getty Images)Cory Gardner: 30%Joni Ernst: 28%Shelley Moore Capito: 13%Tom Cotton: 10%Thom Tillis: 6%James Lankford: 4%Dan Sullivan: 3%Steve Daines: 2%David Perdue: 2%Ben Sasse: 2%Mike Rounds: 0%

Cory Gardner

"He came from nowhere to win a very tough race. He is smooth and crafty—a sunny exterior masking a tea-party warrior. He is going to be trouble."

"He's the best of a mediocre bunch."

"Has the best chance of helping alter the political position of his state and region."

Joni Ernst

"Joni Ernst has star power and could be a reasonable conservative counter to Elizabeth Warren."

"Properly staffed, she could be a force."

Shelley Moore Capito

"Congresswoman Capito, because of her personality and approach, is likely the most suited for success working with members of both parties."

"Capito has the savvy and experience to vault from the back bench to greater heights. It's a lackluster freshman class, but she has a chance to shine, particularly on energy issues."

Tom Cotton

"He's savvy, won with a big margin, and seems to be conveniently forgetting his tea-party origins."

"Tom Cotton has an interesting personal story, and his media skills continue to improve."

Thom Tillis

"So far, he's the only one who's actually said something noteworthy."

Q: Which new Senate Republican is most likely to make a big impact in his or her first year?

This poll was conducted prior to the Louisiana Senate runoff.

REPUBLICANS (84 VOTES)

Cory Gardner: 30%Joni Ernst: 22%Tom Cotton: 17%Shelley Moore Capito: 13%James Lankford: 6%Ben Sasse: 4%Thom Tillis: 4%David Perdue: 2%Steve Daines: 1%Dan Sullivan: 1%Mike Rounds: 0%

Cory Gardner

"Gardner found the right formula to win in a purple state. Hopefully he can help moderate the destructive positions and tactics of the Ted Cruz faction."

"Cory is a happy conservative with legislative experience and first-rate political skills."

"Articulate, conservative, and well liked. A great recipe for success."

Joni Ernst

"Her Midwest common sense coupled with military/foreign policy experience make Ernst a rising star to watch."

"GOP needs to have the face and personality of the party look like hers."

Tom Cotton

"Cotton has a good combination of legislative, executive, and military experience—and confidence in his ideas."

"Brilliant guy, already on the ground running."

Shelley Moore Capito

"Talented, experienced, female."

"Reasonable, grown-up, experienced, and capable of reaching across the aisle."

James Lankford

"A younger Rob Portman and very savvy. Knows how to navigate through the shoals of legislative gridlock and get things accomplished."

Ben Sasse

"None are a stronger combination of brains and D.C. experience. He won't be the most popular but will propose the best ideas."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders  Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders  Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article is from the archive of our partner National Journal.

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