By many measures, the United States has bounced back from the Great Recession, yet the country doesn't seem to have totally regained its confidence. Against this uncertain background, what do Americans anticipate about the next 10 years?
America Looks to 2024: The Atlantic/Aspen Institute Survey marks the 10th anniversary of the Aspen Ideas Festival by asking about impressions of the nation in 2024. The poll finds Americans in a pessimistic mood, worried that U.S. is on the wrong track and unsure about the future. Respondents expect a nation more divided by class and race. They also expect America's standing in the world to diminish, as China and Russia gain in stature. But the results aren't uniform: The poll finds that white Americans have a bleaker view of the future than their black and Latino counterparts, who are more likely to see opportunity today and ahead. Nor is the pessimism absolute. Even as many Americans seem to despair for the nation's future, they're optimistic about their own health, wealth, and well-being over the next decade.
Americans are evenly split about whether the country will be on the right track in 10 years.
That's about the same number who thought the country was on the right path in last year's survey:
Americans expect that we will be more divided than we are now and look back on fractious 2004 with rose-colored glasses.