7-10
"Once again, it will come down to the candidates they field for the general."
"Democrats have weak pickup opportunities and too many seats to protect. We need some Todd Akins to rescue us."
"They have a good chance, but as they demonstrated in 2010 and again in 2012, they also have a good chance of screwing it up."
"Obamacare is going to be death by a thousand cuts."
On a scale of zero (no chance) to 10 (virtual certainty), how likely are Republicans to take over the Senate in 2014?
REPUBLICANS (96 VOTES)
February 2014: Average 6.4, 4% (slight), 44% (moderate), 52% (strong)
August 2013: Average 5.3, 16% (slight), 63% (moderate), 21% (strong)
February 2013: Average 4.8, 24% (slight), 62% (moderate), 14% (strong)
Key: slight (0-3); moderate (4-6); strong (7-10)
0-3
"We will lose two of our own, some way, some how. That will be the difference."
4-6
"Obama could probably save Landrieu, Begich, and the Senate with a Keystone approval, but how much inner Frank Underwood does he have in him?"
"No one seems to be pulling ahead. And the strategies of each individual candidate are from the same ole playbook."
"Republicans clearly have the wind at their backs, but that notwithstanding they still have to virtually run the table in order to capture control. I do believe that a net gain of four seats is a virtual certainty."
"Still a Democratic edge, but waning a bit."
"Uphill but doable. Obama-fatigue is setting in throughout the country and in the Senate."
7-10
"They started with cruel math, now the president and his signature legislation are a millstone."
"More likely than the Caps winning the cup in 2015, but less likely than the Nats winning the World Series."
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