This article is from the archive of our partner National Journal

How likely is it that President Obama will achieve congressional approval of a significant policy objective between now and the midterm election?

DEMOCRATS (96 VOTES)

Very likely: 5%
Somewhat likely: 21%
Somewhat unlikely: 31%
Very unlikely: 43%

Very likely

"Republicans running for reelection have to show some [results]."

Somewhat likely

"I think there is still some hope for immigration reform, and tax reform may be a sleeper issue."

"They will cut some sort of deal to end the sequester."

Somewhat unlikely

"Unless the House Republicans decide they need to deal with immigration, I see no chance beyond the typical 'can-kicking' operation we've come to expect."

"For him to accomplish anything, he would need a partner. There are very few in the Republican Party, and they won't stick their necks out."

"He's looking pretty ineffectual these days; his numbers are sinking. Not the kind of clout he needs to do much more than survive day to day."

Very unlikely

"If there was any hope of any bargains, the Obamacare fiasco killed it."

"As Mitch McConnell said, his No. 1 priority is to cause President Obama to fail, and with a little help from the president himself, he is succeeding."

"House Republicans will not give the president any significant legislative victories. Gridlock is the new normal."

"Congress is so bound up they can't even pass gas, much less significant policy."

"This Congress? Are you kidding me?"

How likely is it that President Obama will achieve congressional approval of a significant policy objective between now and the midterm election?

REPUBLICANS (92 VOTES)

Very likely: 1%
Somewhat likely: 5%
Somewhat unlikely: 34%
Very unlikely: 60%

Somewhat likely

"Don't underestimate the Republicans surrendering before the first battle over immigration."

Somewhat unlikely

"Only shot is to try to get credit for passage of immigration reform bill."

"Only if Republicans are convinced that obstruction tactics aren't going to help."

"I don't think Republicans will give him a meaningful victory."

"Unfortunately, there is no willingness to compromise on either side."

Very unlikely

"His credibility is gone. Nobody listens to his speeches. He will be exclusively playing defense for the foreseeable future."

"Unless he agrees to entitlement reforms in a budget deal. Unlikely."

"Obama is the last person in Washington who believes immigration reform is happening."

"Obama has worked his way into fulfilling the allegations of his critics — he's a bystander president now."

"He is unwilling to compromise on even the smallest items, and Republicans are in no mood to do him any favors."

"He has a knack for poisoning the atmosphere."

"There is a cost to seeking political advantage by demonizing your opponents."

"It used to be that just Republicans opposed the president, but now his stock is low with both Democrats eyeing 2014 and the American people in general. He may be the earliest lame duck in history."

"Is he still president?"

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

How likely is it that President Obama will achieve congressional approval of a significant policy objective between now and the midterm election?

DEMOCRATS (96 VOTES)

Very likely: 5%
Somewhat likely: 21%
Somewhat unlikely: 31%
Very unlikely: 43%

Very likely

"Republicans running for reelection have to show some [results]."

Somewhat likely

"I think there is still some hope for immigration reform, and tax reform may be a sleeper issue."

"They will cut some sort of deal to end the sequester."

Somewhat unlikely

"Unless the House Republicans decide they need to deal with immigration, I see no chance beyond the typical 'can-kicking' operation we've come to expect."

"For him to accomplish anything, he would need a partner. There are very few in the Republican Party, and they won't stick their necks out."

"He's looking pretty ineffectual these days; his numbers are sinking. Not the kind of clout he needs to do much more than survive day to day."

Very unlikely

"If there was any hope of any bargains, the Obamacare fiasco killed it."

"As Mitch McConnell said, his No. 1 priority is to cause President Obama to fail, and with a little help from the president himself, he is succeeding."

"House Republicans will not give the president any significant legislative victories. Gridlock is the new normal."

"Congress is so bound up they can't even pass gas, much less significant policy."

"This Congress? Are you kidding me?"

How likely is it that President Obama will achieve congressional approval of a significant policy objective between now and the midterm election?

REPUBLICANS (92 VOTES)

Very likely: 1%
Somewhat likely: 5%
Somewhat unlikely: 34%
Very unlikely: 60%

Somewhat likely

"Don't underestimate the Republicans surrendering before the first battle over immigration."

Somewhat unlikely

"Only shot is to try to get credit for passage of immigration reform bill."

"Only if Republicans are convinced that obstruction tactics aren't going to help."

"I don't think Republicans will give him a meaningful victory."

"Unfortunately, there is no willingness to compromise on either side."

Very unlikely

"His credibility is gone. Nobody listens to his speeches. He will be exclusively playing defense for the foreseeable future."

"Unless he agrees to entitlement reforms in a budget deal. Unlikely."

"Obama is the last person in Washington who believes immigration reform is happening."

"Obama has worked his way into fulfilling the allegations of his critics — he's a bystander president now."

"He is unwilling to compromise on even the smallest items, and Republicans are in no mood to do him any favors."

"He has a knack for poisoning the atmosphere."

"There is a cost to seeking political advantage by demonizing your opponents."

"It used to be that just Republicans opposed the president, but now his stock is low with both Democrats eyeing 2014 and the American people in general. He may be the earliest lame duck in history."

"Is he still president?"

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article is from the archive of our partner National Journal.

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to the editor or write to letters@theatlantic.com.