Politics

Poll: What Will Happen to the Affordable Care Act?

By Michael Catalini, Alex Roarty, Peter Bell, and National Journal

What do you think is the likeliest fate of the Affordable Care Act in the long term?

DEMOCRATS (102 VOTES)

Recovers intact from its rocky rollout: 50%
Rejiggered to deal with ongoing problems: 9%
Collapses from a lack of public support: 1%

Recovers intact

"The prognosis for ACA is good even though the patient is in ICU."

"Many Americans are unhappy with the program, but the national polls also show people don't want to repeal it."

"Website problems are by definition short term. Obama will not sign any long-term changes, so the law will have a couple of years to work."

"The Class 5 hurricane will do damage, but the levees will hold."

"Off to an admittedly lousy start, it will have to recover — there is nothing about GOP attitudes that hints at a willingness to amend."

"Changing the national health care system to insure millions of uninsured is the bottom line outside the Beltway."

"Enough with the fumbles. Time to get it right and score a touchdown."

Rejiggered

"It will survive for one simple reason: There is the need."

"I would say a combination of one and two. That is what the world is like for all projects."

"It will be amended, not ended."

"It is time to get off the idea that it can't be touched. It won't be repealed, and it should be fixed."

"Revised this year, revised next year, revised the year after that — if this was easy, it would have been done a long time ago."

"President Obama has turned Obamacare into ObamaDoesn'tCare. Some legacy."

"It's the same as Medicare Part D. Eventually, the GOP will love it."

Collapses

"Dems are in a panic. Calling Dan Rostenkowski?"

What do you think is the likeliest fate of the Affordable Care Act in the long term?

REPUBLICANS (97 VOTES)

Recovers intact from its rocky rollout: 3%
Rejiggered to deal with ongoing problems: 46%
Collapses from a lack of public support: 51%

Recovers intact

"It will be an albatross around the necks of Democrats in 2014, but will remain intact long term."

Rejiggered

"It will recover to barely usable, then morph inevitably into a single-payer system."

"If the GOP takes over the Senate, the president will try to save anything he can."

"If they can just ignore the law, why bother to repeal it? The mendacity of this administration is breathtaking."

"It already 'works' for Democrats as a political tool: 'Vote for me, and I will keep trying to fix it. That other guy wants you to go back before Obamacare, when people were routinely tortured by the health care system — especially women.' "

"Rejiggered may be too polite a description. Major changes ahead."

Collapses

"It's a dead law walking."

"Nobody wants this version, including the Left, who want a single-payer system to rise from the ashes."

"The mob will mobilize, the politicians will scatter; it will be repealed sometime after 2016."

"Most Democrats who voted for it have no idea what's in it. There is a lot more bad news to come."

"Drip becomes a deluge."

"The best way to defeat Obamacare is to experience Obamacare."

"No fed program ever goes away; it will be amended to the point it is unrecognizable in its current form."

"The insidious employer mandate is still to come."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

What do you think is the likeliest fate of the Affordable Care Act in the long term?

DEMOCRATS (102 VOTES)

Recovers intact from its rocky rollout: 50%
Rejiggered to deal with ongoing problems: 9%
Collapses from a lack of public support: 1%

Recovers intact

"The prognosis for ACA is good even though the patient is in ICU."

"Many Americans are unhappy with the program, but the national polls also show people don't want to repeal it."

"Website problems are by definition short term. Obama will not sign any long-term changes, so the law will have a couple of years to work."

"The Class 5 hurricane will do damage, but the levees will hold."

"Off to an admittedly lousy start, it will have to recover — there is nothing about GOP attitudes that hints at a willingness to amend."

"Changing the national health care system to insure millions of uninsured is the bottom line outside the Beltway."

"Enough with the fumbles. Time to get it right and score a touchdown."

Rejiggered

"It will survive for one simple reason: There is the need."

"I would say a combination of one and two. That is what the world is like for all projects."

"It will be amended, not ended."

"It is time to get off the idea that it can't be touched. It won't be repealed, and it should be fixed."

"Revised this year, revised next year, revised the year after that — if this was easy, it would have been done a long time ago."

"President Obama has turned Obamacare into ObamaDoesn'tCare. Some legacy."

"It's the same as Medicare Part D. Eventually, the GOP will love it."

Collapses

"Dems are in a panic. Calling Dan Rostenkowski?"

What do you think is the likeliest fate of the Affordable Care Act in the long term?

REPUBLICANS (97 VOTES)

Recovers intact from its rocky rollout: 3%
Rejiggered to deal with ongoing problems: 46%
Collapses from a lack of public support: 51%

Recovers intact

"It will be an albatross around the necks of Democrats in 2014, but will remain intact long term."

Rejiggered

"It will recover to barely usable, then morph inevitably into a single-payer system."

"If the GOP takes over the Senate, the president will try to save anything he can."

"If they can just ignore the law, why bother to repeal it? The mendacity of this administration is breathtaking."

"It already 'works' for Democrats as a political tool: 'Vote for me, and I will keep trying to fix it. That other guy wants you to go back before Obamacare, when people were routinely tortured by the health care system — especially women.' "

"Rejiggered may be too polite a description. Major changes ahead."

Collapses

"It's a dead law walking."

"Nobody wants this version, including the Left, who want a single-payer system to rise from the ashes."

"The mob will mobilize, the politicians will scatter; it will be repealed sometime after 2016."

"Most Democrats who voted for it have no idea what's in it. There is a lot more bad news to come."

"Drip becomes a deluge."

"The best way to defeat Obamacare is to experience Obamacare."

"No fed program ever goes away; it will be amended to the point it is unrecognizable in its current form."

"The insidious employer mandate is still to come."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.