"Only about nine seats truly in play. Sad!"
"An off year, Obama's numbers are down, GOP super PACs are unabated — it all spells bad things for the Democrats even though they continue to contend they can win it."
"The shape of the House districts makes it virtually impossible. In fact, I don't really see a lot of districts flipping in either direction in 2014."
"The gerrymandering fix is in for the Republicans."
"The Dems will probably get more total votes again, but the R's have effectively packed the Dems' districts, so it won't be enough."
Moderate chance
"Tough slog, but the Republican caucus seems to help even the score more and more as time passes by."
"If the R's shut down the government, maybe."
"Even though the math works against Democrats, the House Republicans are alienating everyone in the middle, giving Democrats a chance."
On a scale of zero (no chance) to 10 (virtual certainty), how likely are Democrats to take over the House in 2014?
REPUBLICANS (94 VOTES)
Average: 1.9
Slight chance (0-3): 94%
Moderate chance (4-6): 5%
Strong chance (7-10): 1%
Slight chance
"The Dems will lose seats in the House."
"Chances the Democrats take the House are slim at the moment, but the probability goes to 7 if Republicans shut down the government."
"Even if the Wicked Witch of the West bestowed all of her powers on former Speaker [Nancy] Pelosi, it still wouldn't be enough for her to become the great and powerful Oz."
"Dems and Obama are currently playing defense; a GOP catastrophe would be required for even a small chance."
"The Nationals are mathematically alive to win the World Series this year, too."
"Bad math, fractured agenda, not within their control."
"Not a chance."
"Voters won't trust Democrats with total control."
"Anything can happen in politics, but peace in the Middle East is more likely than Democrats taking over the House."
"The only event that could hand Nancy Pelosi the gavel is if House Republicans adopt the Heritage Action plan to shut down the government over Obamacare. Boehner's not going to let that happen."
"There just aren't enough seats in play."
"A real government shutdown could move it from a 2 to a 5."
"Americans like a check on the president."
"It would take a mighty big wave to get them to a majority."
"Only if the GOP wackos screw up the debt ceiling."
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