This article is from the archive of our partner National Journal

If Hillary Rodham Clinton does not run for president in 2016, where would Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley fit in the Democratic field of candidates?

DEMOCRATS (94 VOTES)

Top tier: 33%
Middle of the pack: 44%
Long shot: 23%

Top tier

"O'Malley has a solid track record and is building relationships around the country. He'll be an attractive candidate in '16."

"Eighty percent of life is showing up. Just ask Barack Obama!"

"O'Malley has been way ahead of the curve on opposition to the death penalty and support for gay marriage. He has serious credibility with the Democratic primary base without scaring swing voters."

"A solid progressive record and a really likable guy."

Middle of the pack

"There won't be a top tier if Hillary Clinton stays out."

"Joe Biden or Andrew Cuomo would likely be ahead of him, but he's a serious candidate with a strong record. He has low name recognition and is not a dynamic speaker, so he will have big challenges to overcome."

"It is a long road, and Joe Biden would be the person to beat."

"The party REALLY wants to nominate a woman, if at all possible. Also, he is terribly uncharismatic."

"Good liberal cred. That worked well for Howard Dean, for a while."

"Unless lightning strikes. Like 1992, Democratic nomination will go to someone not on the main screen right now."

Long shot

"I know that's what they said in 2008, but O'Malley is no Barack Obama."

"He will be the Howard Dean of 2016. Do well at first, then flame out."

"Who?"

"Maryland ain't New York. Money matters. Don't see where Marty gets it."

If Hillary Rodham Clinton does not run for president in 2016, where would Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley fit in the Democratic field of candidates?

REPUBLICANS (85 VOTES)

Top tier: 13%
Middle of the pack: 45%
Long shot: 42%

Top tier

"O'Malley has positioned himself as the liberal's liberal, plus he's telegenic and a good speaker. He'll even give Hillary a run for her money if she runs."

"Attractive and articulate, he resonates with younger voters and those who want a results-oriented leader."

Middle of the pack

"Not particularly talented or accomplished, but Democrats have a short bench."

"This guy is no microwave — he won't get hot in a hurry. But he has great staying power and can outlast his opponents."

"Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton were once low-profile governors, too. Look, someone's got to win."

"The public response to this question would be 'Who?' That said, the Democratic nominating process is always more welcoming of newcomers than the Republican nominating process."

"He's Howard Dean with a bucket of crabs instead of maple syrup. The result will be the same: some initial love from the lefty netroots crowd, and a post-Iowa campaign meltdown constructed by the flinty realists of the party who value keeping the White House over nominating a sure loser in the general."

"No glaring weaknesses, but will really seem like boring vanilla compared to the current POTUS and the candidate they really want."

Long shot

"Intense desire to be president does not a top-tier candidate make."

"Old white men don't win Democratic primaries anymore."

"A liberal tax-raiser from a liberal state. Time to rekindle that Dukakis magic."

"He is a boring governor from a small state who drastically increased taxes and spending. A smart Democrat will consider him unelectable in 2016."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud. 

If Hillary Rodham Clinton does not run for president in 2016, where would Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley fit in the Democratic field of candidates?

DEMOCRATS (94 VOTES)

Top tier: 33%
Middle of the pack: 44%
Long shot: 23%

Top tier

"O'Malley has a solid track record and is building relationships around the country. He'll be an attractive candidate in '16."

"Eighty percent of life is showing up. Just ask Barack Obama!"

"O'Malley has been way ahead of the curve on opposition to the death penalty and support for gay marriage. He has serious credibility with the Democratic primary base without scaring swing voters."

"A solid progressive record and a really likable guy."

Middle of the pack

"There won't be a top tier if Hillary Clinton stays out."

"Joe Biden or Andrew Cuomo would likely be ahead of him, but he's a serious candidate with a strong record. He has low name recognition and is not a dynamic speaker, so he will have big challenges to overcome."

"It is a long road, and Joe Biden would be the person to beat."

"The party REALLY wants to nominate a woman, if at all possible. Also, he is terribly uncharismatic."

"Good liberal cred. That worked well for Howard Dean, for a while."

"Unless lightning strikes. Like 1992, Democratic nomination will go to someone not on the main screen right now."

Long shot

"I know that's what they said in 2008, but O'Malley is no Barack Obama."

"He will be the Howard Dean of 2016. Do well at first, then flame out."

"Who?"

"Maryland ain't New York. Money matters. Don't see where Marty gets it."

If Hillary Rodham Clinton does not run for president in 2016, where would Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley fit in the Democratic field of candidates?

REPUBLICANS (85 VOTES)

Top tier: 13%
Middle of the pack: 45%
Long shot: 42%

Top tier

"O'Malley has positioned himself as the liberal's liberal, plus he's telegenic and a good speaker. He'll even give Hillary a run for her money if she runs."

"Attractive and articulate, he resonates with younger voters and those who want a results-oriented leader."

Middle of the pack

"Not particularly talented or accomplished, but Democrats have a short bench."

"This guy is no microwave — he won't get hot in a hurry. But he has great staying power and can outlast his opponents."

"Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton were once low-profile governors, too. Look, someone's got to win."

"The public response to this question would be 'Who?' That said, the Democratic nominating process is always more welcoming of newcomers than the Republican nominating process."

"He's Howard Dean with a bucket of crabs instead of maple syrup. The result will be the same: some initial love from the lefty netroots crowd, and a post-Iowa campaign meltdown constructed by the flinty realists of the party who value keeping the White House over nominating a sure loser in the general."

"No glaring weaknesses, but will really seem like boring vanilla compared to the current POTUS and the candidate they really want."

Long shot

"Intense desire to be president does not a top-tier candidate make."

"Old white men don't win Democratic primaries anymore."

"A liberal tax-raiser from a liberal state. Time to rekindle that Dukakis magic."

"He is a boring governor from a small state who drastically increased taxes and spending. A smart Democrat will consider him unelectable in 2016."

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Democratic Political Insiders Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

GOP Political Insiders Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud. 

This article is from the archive of our partner National Journal.

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