It's still a tight race for the senate in Massachusetts, polls make small movements in the national race, and another poll makes North Carolina a dead heat. Here's our guide to today's polls and why they matter.
Findings: In a poll from the Boston Globe Scott Brown leads Elizabeth Warren by a mere two points among likely voters, but the two are tied among undecided voters.
Pollster: University of New Hampshire Survey Center for the Boston Globe.
Methodology: Poll of 583 likely voters October 24 through 28 with a +/-4.1 percentage point margin of error.
Why it matters: Nothing's clear going into election day in this nail-biter race. Recent polls from Rasmussen Reports and WBUR/MassINC put Warren up by five and six points. Now this one gives Brown the slight edge.
Caveat: Though there was supposed to have been a debate tomorrow night, perhaps a chance to make things clearer, but both candidates pulled out due to Sandy.
Findings: A Pew poll out today shows both candidates with 47 percent support among likely voters, while Gallup put Romney back up by five points and the Politico/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll gave Obama a one point lead.
Pollster: Pew, Gallup, Politico/GWU
Methodology: For Pew: Landline and cell phone poll of 1,495 likely voters October 24 through 28 with a margin of error of +/-2.9 percentage points. For Gallup: daily tracking. For Politico/GWU: Poll of 1,000 likely voters October 22 through 25 with a margin of error of +/-3.1 percent.
Why it matters: The last Pew poll created a stir by putting Romney up by four following the first debate. Now their assessment puts the two in a dead heat. In what also looks like a movement to Obama: Politico's tracking poll gave the president a three point swing from a week ago, James Hohmann writes, even though the race is essentially tied. On the other hand, though yesterday's Gallup had Romney leading by four, the Republican now back into a five point lead. Romney is now up by 0.8 in the Real Clear Politics average.
Caveat: There's now the question of whether Sandy will have an impact on this race.