After the Republican National Convention, the pundit consensus was that Mitt Romney "did what he had to do." After the Democratic National Convention and three tracking polls showing a significant bounce for President Obama, the pundit consensus has shifted, to "Actually…" and "On second thought…" Monday has brought other bad news for Romney: Obama raised more money in August, after Romney had outfundraised him for three months straight. And some conservatives are not just pessimistic about Romney's campaign but about the American electorate's perhaps permanent greedy immorality. Here's an overview of how the doom set in.
Gallup, Reuters/ Ipsos, and Rasmussen have all found a 4 to 5 percentage point bounce for Obama after the DNC. In Gallup's seven-day tracking poll -- meaning some of the interviews included happened before the DNC began -- Obama is leading 49 percent to Romney's 44 percent. Rasmussen finds Obama leading Romney 49 percent to 45 percent. The Reuters/Ipsos four-day tracking poll finds Obama leading 47 percent to 43 percent.
Another factor that makes those numbers more interesting: Rasmussen is a right-leaning pollster. And this election, the racial makeup of Gallup's polling sample has tended to be more white than the population at large. As Mark Blumenthal explained at The Huffington Post, that's meant that Gallup has found Obama's approval ratings to be slightly worse than other pollsters. Romney's campaign expects only 74 percent of the electorate to be white, but Gallup has shown a higher percentage of whites.