It doesn't matter how rich Romney is except when it might, and some conflicting news for Obama when it comes to health care and immigration. Here's our guide to today's polls and why they matter.
Findings: A majority of people of all partisan stripes — Democrat, independent, or Republican — say that Romney's wealth won't play a part in their decision to vote for him or not. In general 75 percent of U.S. voters said it makes "no difference," 20 percent said they are less likely to vote for him knowing his net worth of over $200 million, and 4 percent said they are more likely to vote for him.
Methodology: 873 registered voters from all 50 states and D.C. were surveyed between July 9 and 10 via landline and cell phone. The maximum margin of error is +/-4 percent.
Why it matters: These results argue that for all the attention Obama and Democrats have given to Romney's money, people don't care much.
Caveat: Gallup points out that there might still be a plus for Obama in these results. Though 76 percent of independents said Romney's wealth makes no difference, 19 percent said it makes them less likely to vote for him, and only four percent said it makes them more likely to vote for him. Combine that with the 20 percent of voters overall who are less likely to go Romney because he is rich and Gallup says the numbers "could in theory make a difference at the margins in some key swing states."
Findings: Americans just seriously don't know what to think about health care: 55 percent of them say the Affordable Care Act is a tax hike compared to 36 percent who don't. On the other hand, 48 percent agree with the Supreme Court's decision, 45 don't, even though 49 percent think that Congress should repeal the ACA over 43 percent who don't.
Methodology: 2,722 registered voters were surveyed via landline and cell phone with live interviewers between July 1 through 8. The margin of error is +/-1.9 percentage points.
Why it matters: As Peter Brown of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute writes: "The big question is whether the Republicans can sell the idea to voters that the president's Affordable Care Act breaks his promise not to raise taxes on those who make less than $250,000. That's why what voters believe on this issue matters."
Caveat: Even though slightly more Americans agreed with the Supreme Court's decision, more say it will make them less likely to vote for Obama rather than more likely. The 27 percent in the less likely category and 12 percent in the more likely category, are trumped by the 59 percent who said it won't have an effect on their decision.
Findings: Voters approve of Obama's new policy that allows young illegal immigrants to stay in the country 55 percent to 39 percent.
Methodology: Same as above.
Why it matters: Seemingly good political news for Obama's move, which looked to woo Latino voters.
Caveat: A pattern similar to the one seen on the health care question develops. Though 51 percent say their vote will not be affected by the policy, 30 percent say it makes them less likely to vote Obama compared to 18 percent say it makes them more likely. Plus, Quinnipiac's poll from yesterday showed that Obama appears to be losing favor with Latinos.
This article is from the archive of our partner The Wire.
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