Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker easily won his recall election last night, dealing a morale-killing blow to Democrats and labor union supporters. He defeated Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett by a margin of about 172,000 votes (53 percent to 46 percent), ending what became a nearly 16-month challenge that began when Walker and the Republican legislature stripped some collective bargaining rights from public employee unions. Walker, who has been in office less than two years, has spent nearly his entire administration embroiled in this recall fight — a fight that turned into a battleground for the national debate between conservative and liberal views about the role of government.
What lessons can be drawn from the results depends greatly upon who you ask, of course. The temptation is to see the recall as a proxy for November's presidential vote, but much of the evidence suggests that the this is a special case that tells us little about national politics. Some voters said they were simply voting against the very idea of recalls. FiveThirtyEight says that gubernatorial votes might actually have a reverse indicator for presidential elections, and exit polling from last night said that Barack Obama has a much wider lead over Mitt Romney than most traditional polling had shown to date. William Galston at The New Republic argues that it does shows us signs, not about November vote totals, but about tactics and attitudes heading into the general election.