"Wisconsin is a 50-50 state and will be close."
"Two words: Scott Walker."
"So much extra money and attention there ... throws off the traditional election calculus."
"With the recall race, Wisconsin voters have been bombarded with anti-Democratic Party candidate ads like no other state — as such, they may not trust anyone, and that hurts Obama."
"Wisconsin, by default, but Romney's chances are still not great there. Romney's failure to make any real inroads into blue states is a major problem for the GOP."
"He can forget about Michigan after his auto-industry comments, and Pennsylvania is too blue for Mitt. Wisconsin may be in reach for him, but it's still a stretch."
"Wisconsin is glow-in-the-dark purple these days. He cannot overcome his position on the auto bailout in Michigan or the Democratic political operation in Pennsylvania."
Which traditionally blue state does Mitt Romney have the best chance of winning?
REPUBLICANS (105 VOTES)
"Strong home-state ties. The Romney name is still gold in Michigan."
"Mitt's native state, and those voters are madder than wolverines at Obama these days."
"The Romney brand still has some value in MI. Enough for a couple-point boost."
"There's a lot of West Virginia in central and western Pennsylvania."
"Pennsylvania really wants to vote GOP this time, and Romney is the perfect Pennsylvania Republican. Romney will run strongly in all Mid-Atlantic states."
"Coal/energy workers will exact their revenge over President Obama's "˜green' agenda."
"The economy is killing the president, and his endorsement of same-sex marriage will energize the base."
"Jobs, jobs, jobs!"
"A lot depends on the Wisconsin recall. Walker wins = Romney target. Walker loses = Obama holds."
"Scott Walker fever, Paul Ryan, rising superstar, and a winnable Senate seat equal brats and root beer for Mitt this election season."
"The Midwest is the key swing area, but the president has done a masterful job of selling himself as the savior of the auto industry, and Romney's position is too nuanced to explain. That leaves Wisconsin."
"Pennsylvania usually breaks Republicans' hearts, and Romney is on the wrong side of the auto bailout in Michigan. But if Scott Walker hangs on in Wisconsin, the unions' back will be broken, and we can compete there."
"Wisconsin has had a good taste of hard-core, union-based "˜progressivism' over past two years — and doesn't like it."
"Pigs will fly before a Republican wins Pennsylvania in a presidential campaign."
"Out-of-state recall-election funding and close Senate race push turnout sky-high and make Wisconsin more of a national barometer."
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