President Obama is in danger, but the momentum isn't overwhelming. Next year, all politics will finally be local once again.
Although plenty of political and economic diagnostic indicators are signaling danger for President Obama, this election season still doesn't have a dominant direction. During the 2006, 2008, and 2010 cycles, the question was how many seats would the victorious party pick up, not which one the political tides would benefit most. But so far for 2012, the weather vanes are just spinning.
Perry Calls Romney a 'Fat Cat'
Wars Wind Down, but Some Forces Face Wearying Future
A new survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 15-18 for two liberal groups by Democratic polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, confirms that. The public is pessimistic--just 15 percent agreed that "things in this country are going in the right direction." A whopping 76 percent believed that things are "pretty seriously off on the wrong track." Obama's job approval is 40 percent (53 percent disapproval)--almost identical to his 41 percent in the Oct. 10-16 Gallup Poll, his September average, and his just-completed 11th quarter. In the latest poll, 21 percent strongly approved of Obama's job performance; 42 percent strongly disapproved; 19 percent somewhat approved; and 11 percent somewhat disapproved. The disapproval is double the intensity of the approval.
Even so, just 27 percent approved of the way "Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives" and 65 percent disapproved. Just 9 percent strongly approved compared to 48 percent that strongly disapproved. And 18 percent somewhat approved, with 17 percent somewhat disapproving. The intensity of disapproval is almost triple the approval.