Dick Morris Should Stop Predicting Things

The hack columnist's latest prediction: Obama will drop out of 2012 race

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One of the country's most infamous prognosticators is at it again. Dick Morris, former adviser to President Clinton-turned syndicated columnist, made headlines today with an outside-the-box prediction during a radio interview with conservative host Sean Hannity. Morris said it's "very possible" that President Obama will drop out of the 2012 race at the behest of Democratic leaders in Congress:

I asked a top Democratic strategist the other day and he thought that it was possible that, in January, Harry Reid comes to Obama and says, ‘Look you cost us control of the House last year, you’re going to cost us control of the Senate this year. For the good of the party you have to step aside.’

And, then, (Obama) pulls a Lyndon Johnson, he says ‘I’m fighting to solve the recession, and problem is because of partisanship and my re-election people reject everything I say because of partisanship, so I’m going to not run for president and focus my full time attention on solving this recession’ and then go out popular.

Now Morris isn't alone in thinking President Obama is headed for a loss at the ballot box come November 2012. Or even that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton could primary him. But the idea that Harry Reid or any other Democrat could convince Obama to throw in the towel is a novel scenario. It would be difficult to swallow coming from any pundit, but from Dick Morris it practically guarantees that the opposite outcome will occur. Witness his impressive record of false predictions:

Claim: In March, Morris said of Trump: "I think he's gonna run, I think he's got a good shot at the nomination and I think if he were nominated he could beat Obama... I think he'll just clobber him." Outcome: In May, Trump announced he would not run for president.

Claim: In September 2010 Morris made the claim on Fox News's The O'Reilly Factor. "I predict there will be a government shutdown." Outcome Congress averted a potential shutdown with a last-minute budget deal.

Claim: Hillary Clinton and Condoleezza Rice will likely face off against each other in the 2008 presidential elections.  Morris literally wrote the book on this prediction, Condi vs. HillaryOutcome: Neither candidates ran in the 2008 general election. But Morris's book is available to buy on Amazon for $0.01.

Claim: Republican Rick Lazio will beat Democrat Hillary Clinton for New York's U.S. Senate seat. In 2000, Morris went on The O'Reilly Factor and said "I think Lazio is, at this point, more likely to win it than Hillary, because, if Hillary is at 48 percent -- or even at 49 percent, or even at 50 percent -- a lot of her vote of minorities, a lot of her -- who have no real reason to vote in the presidential race." Outcome: Hillary Clinton won the Senate race.

This article is from the archive of our partner The Wire.