After independents supported President Obama in 2008, the pendulum has swung toward Republicans in 2010: CNN polling earlier this month showed 62 percent of independents backign the GOP in the coming midterms, while Pew polling today shows a less drastic advantage, with the GOP winning independents 49 - 63 percent.

But what's even more encouraging for Republicans is the enthusiasm gap among independents, as the GOP supporters are more engaged.


Uncharacteristically, independent voters, who typically are not highly engaged by midterm elections, are now more likely than Democrats to say they are giving a lot of thought to this election. The relatively high level of independent engagement this year has come among those who plan to vote Republican. Fully 64% of independents who plan to vote for the Republican in their district are giving a lot of thought to the election, compared with just 40% of independents who plan to vote for a Democrat.

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