live-blogging from the Newseum
In his Google-Politico interview with Mike Allen, GOP uber-strategist Ed Gillespie predicts a minimum of a 45 seat pick-up for Republicans in the House, giving the party at least a six-person majority in that chamber, and sees Republicans picking up as many as 10 additional Congressional seats through redistricting. Gillespie says he thinks between six to eight Senate seats are in play -- not enough to take over the body.
Gillespie is one of the architects of the Republican infrastructure that exists outside the party. His polling has helped groups target independents, a block of voters, he says, who began to move away from Obama in April of 2009. Gillespie served as President Bush's final strategy chief in office, is a former RNC chairman, and was campaign chair for Bob McDonnell's successful gubernatorial race last year. A pillar of the establishment, he's managed to escape the scarlet letter that Tea Party activists have applied to many of his friends and colleagues.
Gillespie doesn't think Jon Stewart's rally will have a "significant effect" on election day.