Democrats Find Hope for 2010 in Fundraising Edge

Assuming it's not just a post health-care surge

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The popular narrative of Republican resurgence took a slight hit yesterday with news that Democrats--both in the DNC and the House and Senate campaign committees--have out-raised Republicans for the midterm elections. In March, the DNC out-raised the RNC $13.7 million to $11.6 million. But to what extent does this really undercut the narrative that Democrats will be slammed in the 2010 midterms, and to what extent is it instead merely indicative of a health care reform-related boost? Should Republicans actually be worried?

  • So Much for the Great Republican Takeover  Jonathan Singer at liberal blog MyDD takes the figures at face value and offers the natural reaction: "While this financial disparity isn't assured to remain through November, the fact that the Democrats continue to raise more than their Republican counterparts suggests that all of the talk of the House already having been all but lost for the Democrats might be a bit overblown."
  • 'Where Are They Getting All That Cash?' asks a bewildered Justin Paulette at the Ashbrook Center for Public Affairs. These money numbers come "despite being trounced by 10% in a generic congressional ballot poll," and despite what Paulette clearly believes to be terrible and unpopular policy. So what gives? "Do the Dems rock, or does the GOP just really, really suck?"
  • From 'Shakedowns,' responds Jonah Goldberg simply at the National Review.
The Democrats not only run the government, they are shaking down "reforming" nearly every sector of the American economy. Business gives money when it sees its interests being threatened. And, in a variation of Battered Wife Syndrome, they tend to give more money to the people threatening their interests than to the folks who are at least rhetorically defending them.
  • GOP Not Too Worried, adds Reid Wilson at Hotline on Call. The financial disadvantage is a problem, "but not one that will stop it from making major gains this year." Then, too, "GOPers have dealt with a cash deficit before," while no Democratic committees "sport the advantage they held last cycle. At this point in '08, for example, the DCCC had $44.3M in the bank, while the NRCC had $7.1M on hand."
  • These Numbers Aren't What They Look Like  Politico's Ben Smith points out that though the DNC's ahead, it "also has debt amounting roughly to the difference." Furthermore, he's found a DNC official who says "health care drove the banner month, and that the party doesn't expect to repeat it."
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