Note: lesson learned: always go by official roll call votes. What was once eight is now four.
Call them the HVT-4. Four Democratic members of Congress have voted against the economic stimulus package, the Waxman-Markey cap-and-trade bill and the Democratic health care reform legislation. They're the low-hanging fruit - or highest value targets - for the National Republican Congressional Committee right now. Some will be harder to dislodge than others. Note that 11 House Dems voted against the House version of the stimulus package; five later voted for the final, conferenced bill. That confused me earlier, so there are several Dems whose names I deleted from this list.
Top Tier Targets
Walt Minnick (D-ID) - he represents one of the most conservative districts in the West -- and the most GOP district in the nation currently held by a Dem. The NRCC has a top-flight challenger in 40-year old Iraq war vet Vaughn Ward, who is already in the race and running full-time against Minnick. Dems acknowledge that this seat is tough to hold on to.
Bobby Bright (D-AL), a freshman, won in a district that voted for Sen. John McCain by 26 points. His challenger is Martha Roby, a Montgomery County City Councilperson who is well-known in the district, well-funded, and 33 years old. For months, the NRCC has been haranguing Bright to prove his fidelity to the values of the district, saturating the airwaves with radio ads and robocalls urging him to criticize Speaker Pelosi for some reason or another. Note: despite the NRCC's claims to the contrary, Bright has never supported a public option.
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Marc Ambinder is a senior fellow at the USC Annenberg Center on Communication Leadership and Policy.