In a prospective race between Dobbs, President Obama, Mitt Romney, and Ralph Nader, the polling results are: Obama 45%, Romney 38%, Dobbs 6%, and Nader 4%, among "likely voters."
(Obama's total, it should be noted, shoots up to 58%
when among "drop-off
voters"--people who don't qualify as "likely voters" but who voted in
2008 , are included.)*
Not bad for Dobbs, though it might be an ideal scenario for him with Romney as the GOP's nominee: Romney doesn't have much populist appeal to eat into Dobbs' prospective support base; Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee, on the other hand, do.
*I originally misinterpreted this figure as the total percent of "likely" voters and "drop-off" voters who say they'd vote for Obama. It's not: Obama's polls at 58 percent among "drop-off" voters only. The total figures--including both likely and drop-off voters--are: Obama 47%, Romney 37%, Dobbs 5%, and Nader 4%.
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