As the political media get done evaluating President Obama at his 100-days mark, Robert D. Kaplan says: ignore it. Obama has yet to face a real crisis to assay his true character and lay it bare for the nation, and the world to see, he says--but there are some looming.
Getting bogged down in Afghanistan, the unraveling of Pakistan, and Vladimir Putin becoming a dictator in Russia are all potential crisis Obama could face, Kaplan says.
Kaplan's potentials ring true: experts say that Pakistan could fall to the Taliban or, as Kaplan suggests, a soft coup by the military; Afghanistan's size and societal fragmentation make it a bigger challenge than Iraq, and calling it the graveyard of empires lends an ominous tone; Russia is a piece of Obama's Iran policy, and a shift there would complicate things beyond U.S.-Russia relations.
These would reveal as much about Obama as his foreign policy team, and the triumvirate of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Israeli-Palestinian envoy George Mitchell and Afghanistan/Pakistan envoy Richard Holbrooke could be strained. As Kaplan says, we will come to know them all better if the U.S. is faced with any of these foreboding scenarios.
We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to the editor or write to email@example.com.