Wow. Rasmussen has Mitch McConnell losing in Kentucky. Of course, Barack Obama's horribly unpopular there meaning that "[w]hile McConnell will try to make Obama a part of Lunsford’s name, Lunsford will emphasize McConnell’s ties to the current President." You kind of figure that McConnell will probably pull this one out, but it's a real sign of how desperate the Republican situation is.

Meanwhile, in an interesting way Kentucky Democrats will probably be better off if Obama doesn't do too well in the presidential campaign. If he opens up a clear lead over John McCain, I think the argument that Kentucky should send a Republican to help obstruct the Obama agenda could be fairly persuasive but if the race is close then people will just focus on McConnell versus Lumsford and it seems like Lumsford has a real shot.