Overall, the spread is Obama 48% and Clinton 42%.

Obama now runs even among women, even among those who didn't get a college degree and even among those aged 45 to 64. Clinton still runs strong among men and women over aged 65 and women who don't work. Obama wins married women by 11 points.

42% of Republicans say that Barack Obama would be the toughest candidate for John McCain to b beat in November.

The Times poll has McCain beating Clinton outside the margin of error (46% to 40%) and beating Obama by only 2 points.

So far as I can tell, the difference between the Times poll and other polls showing Obama beating McCain is that independents in the Times poll are more evenly split, where Obama, in the CBS/NYT poll, led among independents.

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