Brian Katulis from the Center for American Progress and Ilan Goldenberg from the National Security Network talk with some members of the press about the risks that the "Awakening" movement in Iraq will undermine the prospects for political consensus and national unity there. Here's a paper by Goldenberg and another one by Katulis going into greater depth about the issues they're discussing.
To boil it down, though, what we're basically seeing is an increasing fragmentation of political power and weapons and thus a multiplication of the real and potential lines of conflict.
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