Chris Orr lays down twenty bucks that Sarah Palin's future trajectory won't resemble anything like the optimistic scenario I sketched out here. I'd take the bet if he'd give me three-to-one odds! But yeah, at the moment it does seem more likely that Palin will be remembered as someone who was invited on board the U.S.S. Republican Party when it was already caught up in a vortex, and ended up lashing her career to its mast and going down with the ship.

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