Interesting stuff, summed up by Ambinder:
Pew Research ... finds this week that public support has dropped; only 45% support a "government plan to invest or commit billions to secure financial institutions." 38% say they're opposed; the rest don't know. Independents are the least likely to support it (42%); Republicans are the most likely (49%) Two thirds say they're "angry" about the plan, which independents being the angriest and Republicans being the least angry.
You could argue that this props up my suggestion that anti-bailout sentiment is unlikely to redound to the GOP's benefit in a future campaign, since the people who are maddest about it are Democrats and independents. On the other hand, you could argue that it undercuts my prediction - and any other prediction, for that matter - by demonstrating just how fluid and unpredictable the politics of this issue are, since the partisan gap on the issue is extremely slim by the standards of contemporary politics and the landscape is no doubt shifting even as I write. It would be nice to know which Democrats support the bailout, and which Republicans do the same: At the moment, my instinct is that the bailout is supported by self-conscious moderates of all stripes, whether they call themselves Dems, Repubs or independents, and that anti-bailout sentiment unites talk-radio-listening conservatives, Nation-reading lefties, and the radical-center types who rallied around Ross Perot. This dynamic would seem to make it an ideal issue for a primary-season insurgent in either party, or for a third-party candidate in a general election - but somewhat less ideal as a wedge issue for the purposes of the national GOP, or the national Democratic Party. But all of this could change, obviously, depending on what happens in Washington in the next week, and then what happens to the economy after that.
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