While talking to Andrew Sullivan about the relative fortunes of Rudy Giuliani and John McCain, he noted that McCain, like Kerry in '04, could end up the last man standing.

And as I considered this scenario, it occurred to me that the parallels were pretty clear: just as Dick Gephardt launched a kamikaze attack on Howard Dean, it's easy to imagine Giuliani and Romney at each other's throats until Iowa Republicans declare them both utterly unpalatable. There is plenty of ammunition for both of them. Fred Thompson, in contrast, has a longstanding friendship with McCain, which suggests that (a little unrealistic, I know) that he'd be willing to pull his anti-McCain punches.

Of course, both Giuliani and Romney will have enough resources to keep fighting. So did Dean, for a while at least. I realize that this is all a little too neat.

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