Early data suggests that enthusiasm and increased turnout from communities of color were at least part of the reason the GOP lost Wisconsin’s governor’s mansion.
Scott Walker was elected governor of Wisconsin eight years ago. He’s survived a recall attempt, a re-election bid, a brief flirtation with running for the GOP’s nomination for president, and years of bitter opposition from Wisconsinites who fought against his hardline policies on voting rights, health-care, education, and the state safety net. He’s led what might be considered the model of a Republican state takeover in the era of Trumpism. And he lost the 2018 election to Democratic challenger Tony Evers by a margin of 1.2 points, a total of just over 30,000 votes.
As the dust settles from the midterm elections, and political observers attempt to divine exactly what happened across the country, that result is worth a closer look. In particular, the limited data available on the Wisconsin race suggest that increased turnout among black and Latino voters was one of the biggest shifts between the 2014 midterm and this election. If that indication holds true, it would mean that in a state characterized over the past decade by Walker’s racial politics, in a country currently facing rising bigotry and voter suppression, minority voters were Scott Walker’s bane.