What We're Following This Morning

Editor’s Note: This article previously appeared in a different format as part of The Atlantic’s Notes section, retired in 2021.

Republican presidential debate: Eleven candidates will take the stage this evening for the event organized by CNN at the Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California. Donald Trump is still leading in the polls, though he is now facing a strong challenge from Ben Carson.

Federal Reserve meeting: Will the Fed raise rates? That’s the question today as the central bank meets to decide on whether to increase interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. A low unemployment rate bolsters the case for a rate increase, but recent instability in global financial markets could give the Fed pause. Update: More here.

Was ISIS intel distorted? The Pentagon’s inspector general is examining claims that senior military officers manipulated intelligence assessments of the progress against ISIS, The New York Times is reporting. A spokeswoman for the Pentagon’s inspector general told the Times the investigation is focused on U.S. Central Command’s intelligence command. Update: More here.

A new migrant route: About 150 migrants, mostly from Syria, entered Croatia today—a new route to enter the EU after Hungary closed its borders on Tuesday. Many of them are hoping to reach Germany. Europe’s migrant crisis—the most severe since World War II—has opened deep divisions among EU member states over the allocation of asylum-seekers.

Seattle’s striking teachers: They suspended a weeklong strike after agreeing on a new contract with the school board. The teachers could be back at work in the city’s public schools as early as Thursday.

Utah flood toll rises: The death toll in Monday’s flash flood has increased to 12, the Washington County sheriff’s office said. One person is still missing. The flash flood, which was caused by a thunderstorm, washed away an SUV and a van that were carrying, in total, 16 people.