So is Putin about to get what he has always wanted? Is he now a step closer to forging that “broad international coalition against terrorism” he called for in his speech to the UN General Assembly in September? In his UN speech, Putin invoked the spirit of World War II, calling for an alliance “similar to the anti-Hitler coalition” that united “a broad range of parties willing to stand firm against those who, just like the Nazis, sow evil and hatred of humankind.”
He also invoked the Yalta conference, which laid “a solid foundation for the postwar world order.” And he lamented that the end of the Cold War left the world “with one center of dominance.” And all this was no accident.
Putin wants to relive 1945 and exorcise 1991. He wants to resurrect the glory of the Soviet victory in World War II; and he wants to bury the humiliation of the Soviet defeat in the Cold War. He wants a temporary alliance of convenience with the West in Syria, one that will end Russia’s international isolation and get sanctions lifted. Then he wants a modern version of the Yalta conference, in which Russia and other great powers will divide up the world into spheres of influence. And of course he wants a free hand in the former Soviet space.
“Russia’s war with the West will not end as long as these new principles are not introduced by ‘internationally binding commitment,’” Slawomir Debski, editor- in-chief of the Russian-affairs website Intersection, wrote in a recent column.
Putin clearly thinks that the November 13 Paris attacks give him a window of opportunity to advance these goals. As political commentator Leonid Bershidsky noted in a recent column, a month ago French President Francois Hollande said Putin “is not our ally” in Syria; but now he is calling for Moscow and the West “to unite our forces.”
It is probably no accident that just days after the Paris attacks, and shortly after Hollande’s call for unity, Moscow finally acknowledged what it had been denying for weeks: that the October 31 Metrojet crash in Egypt was an act of terrorism. Putin pledged to pursue those responsible “everywhere, no matter where they are hiding,” adding that Russia was “counting on all of our friends during this work, including in searching for and punishing the criminals.”
And right on cue, speaking at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Manila, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said: “The terror attacks that Russia and France have just faced affected the whole world. The terrorism expansion is indeed a global challenge. And it requires a united response.”
The Moscow punditocracy is also on message. Political analyst Aleksei Arbatov told the daily Kommersant that the Paris attacks will alter relations with the West “in the direction of greater mutual sympathy.”
All of this has opponents of the Putin regime duly alarmed. A Russo-Western alliance in Syria would be “morally repugnant, strategically disastrous, and entirely unnecessary,” the self-exiled Russian opposition leader and former world chess champion Garry Kasparov, author of the book Winter Is Coming, wrote in The Wall Street Journal. “President Obama and other Western leaders desperate to resolve the conflict in Syria should keep in mind that the enemy of your enemy can also be your enemy,” Kasparov wrote.