McCain's bounce is over. It's foolish to take heart from this, and it's more foolish to start bragging. The fact is that we have no idea what is happening. Still, it's amazing how so many of us abandoned Occam's Razor. Is Obama being too nice? Is he playing too much defense? Does Palin catch him off gaurd? Is he losing the news-cycle? Uhm, maybe John McCain just got a nice bump from the convention--as most candidates do. All this means is that we're back where we started--that is, in a presidential race.

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