So he's addressing the NAACP convention tonight. It's tough for me to see him redoing his fatherhood speech again. I think that would be overplaying his hand incredibly. It's good to be seen as the guy who's the anti-Sharpton, but I think that has diminishing returns. Another "Obama Chastises Teh Blacks" headline won't help, and will really begin to make this thing look cynical. I'm sure they'll be some nods to "personal responsibility," but I'd be really suprised if he doesn't lean on the structural reforms he's outlined in his platform.