by Patrick Appel

Drew Linzer and Lisa Blaydes explain their research on "how well can we expect candidates associated with Egypt's religious 'right' to perform." Joshua Tucker adds:

I want to draw readers' attention to the authors' use of the idea of bounds. Their piece should not be read to say the Muslim Brotherhood will win 60% of the vote in a fair election, and therefore would automatically capture the presidency in a presidential election. Instead, their data suggests that we might want to think about the likely support for a Muslim Brotherhood type party as falling somewhere between 20% and 60%. This is obviously a wide range, but it does represent a first step towards bringing hard data to this question as opposed to speculation.

(Photo: An Egyptian man holds a CD with information about the Muslim Brotherhood's MP and parliamentary candidate. It was distributed during a campaign rally during the last Egyptian general election in the village of Mit Nama, 20 kms north of Cairo, late on November 21, 2010 . By Khaled Desouki/AFP/Getty Images)

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