After Mubarak


by Patrick Appel

Andrew Exum ponders Egypt's immediate future:

If the rumors are true, and if Hosni Mubarak steps down today, the most interesting "Friedman Unit" will be the six months starting now. We will see what kind of order replaces -- or doesn't replace -- the current regime, and we will see how the disorganized opposition groups fracture and fight among themselves about the way forward. The true meaning of this uprising will be found not in what happens today or what has taken place in Tahrir Square over the past three weeks but in the weeks and months ahead.

(Photo: Anti-government protesters stamp on a poster of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak as they pose for a photo, outside the Egyptian Parliament in Cairo, Egypt, Wednesday, Feb. 9, 2011. By Tara Todras-Whitehill/AP)