Ezra Klein thinks that the pay-roll tax cut holiday will be extended in a year's time. Drum doesn't. His main reason:

Republicans don't care about middle class taxes. They care about taxes on the rich. I don't doubt for a second that they'll make some noise a year from now about how Democrats are increasing your taxes, but their hearts won't be in it. They'll fight to the death over taxes on millionaires, but when it comes to payroll taxes it will just be pro forma partisan kvetching.

Frum differs.

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