Bernstein takes another crack at DADT politicking:
[W]hether the new plan will work depends on whether Harry Reid and the Democrats (and House Democrats) are willing to stick around and do it. That, we don't yet know. It may depend, too, on how quickly the tax bill and any other business can be finished. And perhaps Republicans will be able to throw up enough roadblocks to run out the clock, after all.
Meanwhile, the original advantages of bundling repeal with the Defense Authorization bill turned out to have been a flop, or at least half a flop. The idea behind it was always that marginal Senators would be afraid to vote "against the troops" and would therefore vote for the larger bill even if they didn't want to vote for DADT repeal -- and that other Senators who may have wanted DADT repeal but didn't want to vote for it would be spared a separate vote. Perhaps that's worked with some marginal Democrats (all Dems but Manchin voted yes today), but it certainly didn't work with Republicans.