Two polls find Romney, Huckabee, and Palin in a dead heat. James Joyner sizes up the candidates:

My gut tells me that Romney is the frontrunner and Palin the strongest challenger.  I can’t [imagine] Huckabee beating Palin, although he has a track record of hanging around long after his defeat is inevitable and could serve as a spoiler.  Gingrich has way too much baggage.

My hope is that someone who didn’t run in 2012 a governor like Gary Johnson, maybe emerges.   But it’s going to be difficult because this race will get started quickly and the winner will need enough money to choke a horse.

I suppose there’s always Marco Rubio he’ll be more experienced than Obama was in 2008 and he’s got a huge fan base and boatloads of charisma.   But I suspect he’ll wait a little longer.

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