Bernstein ignores the polls:

If you want to know about Barack Obama's chances in 2012, I recommend two things: pay attention to his approval ratings, and pay attention to the economic results and forecasts.  Really, you can completely, totally, absolutely ignore head-to-head polling matchups until Labor Day, 2012.

Agreed. But I remain of the view that the GOP nomination is Palin's to lose. She's running positive infomercials for herself right now on Dancing With The Stars, one of the most popular shows on TV and her TLC series, one of the most popular cable news shows as well. And when was the last time you saw any actual journalist challenge Palin on air?

She always believed a politician should be treated like a Beauty Queen. And she's engineered and run rings around the media so that she is.

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