R.L.G. at DiA counters Douthat:
The Republican race begins very soon. And early advantages can become self-sustaining. There are many reasons Ms Palin might not win, including some of those that downed Hillary Clinton and Howard Dean; the frontrunner has a special kind of vulnerability as everyone takes aim at the same time. But she has to be considered the frontrunner as of today. Those who think she isn't have to say who they think is.