by Patrick Appel

An early Iowa poll puts Palin in fourth. Weigel discounts the poll. Nevertheless:

If we accept this poll result, we know that Palin is in a relatively worse place than the 2008 Democratic frontrunner, Hillary Clinton. At this point in the campaign, Clinton had good leads in Iowa polling based on name recognition and based on enthusiasm, generally, that Democrats felt for her. Palin has the universal name recognition, she has the enthusiasm, but she doesn't have the Hillary strength. I'd guess that's a function of Republican doubts that she can be a credible candidate and president.

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