Seth Masket sighs:
It seems pretty clear to me that the thing is going to pass. It's also clear to me that the Democrats are going to lose seats this fall. And what will annoy me is the pundits who claim that Democrats lost seats because they passed health reform. Let's just stipulate that the Democrats will lose seats whether health reform passes or fails. I have no idea whether passing health reform will mitigate losses or exacerbate them -- probably not too much either way. But I'm sure the pundits will overhype it anyway.