Fareed proffers a salutary warning not to look away. He's more optimistic than I am and more comfortable with direct US intervention in the months ahead. But his core point is surely valid: this year will be as critical in Iraq as in Afghanistan. If the US is to extricate itself successfully from this misjudgment, it will need much more care in leaving than it took in invading. The Sunnis remain unreconciled and the Kurds are restive.

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