Poulos graphs McCain's best case scenario:

Mccain_2

McCain's focus on Pennsylvania seems curious:

Despite polls showing him trailing Democrat Barack Obama by double digits in Pennsylvania, John McCain continued to treat the state as if the whole election depended on it.

All the McCain activity is happening in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans by nearly 1.2 million, double from four years ago; where Obama, flush with cash, is outspending McCain on television by several orders of magnitude; and where the Democrats have an organizational advantage.

It's hard to imagine McCain winning Pennsylvania, but it's also hard to see how he wins the election without it.

(Hat tip: Goddard)

We want to hear what you think about this article. Submit a letter to the editor or write to letters@theatlantic.com.