Karzai was very friendly with the Iranian foreign minister this weekend. He was at a meeting of the Middle Eastern Economic Cooperation Organization. While he was warning that Afghanistan might come under attack by Iran if the US attacked Iran, his friends in Tehran were being more explicit:

"In the first minute of an invasion by the enemy, 11,000 rockets and cannons will be fired at enemy bases," said Mahmoud Chaharbaghi, a brigadier general in the elite Revolutionary Guards. "This volume and speed of firing would continue," added Chaharbaghi, who is commander of artillery and missiles of the Guards' ground forces.

Bravado? Bluff? I don't know. I do know that figuring out how foes react to American initiatives is not something this administration has shown a great deal of aptitude for.

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