Glenn Reynolds provides his analysis of why the GOP may lose many seats next month. All his points are fair ones, but they miss what are for me the big issues. Two words: Iraq and spending. Three years after the invasion of Iraq, we have a problem. Instead of a stabilizing society with new freedoms, we have record levels of suicide attacks, tens of thousands of civilian casualties (with records being broken each month), rampant torture and death squads, and political paralysis (I'm hearing rumors of a coup brewing in Baghdad). We also failed to find any of the WMDs the war was based on. All this means - and I'm sorry to break this to Instapundit - that someone in the Bush administration screwed up the most important task of our time. Why will the Republicans be defeated this November, if they are? To paraphrase Mr Carville, it's losing the war, stupid.

People also vote Republican because they want representatives able to say no to government spending. The current Bush GOP says: YES, MORE PLEASE. The two most significant facts about the current crew in power is that they have increased the debt overhang facing the next generation from $20 trillion to $43 trillion in five years. The new Medicare entitlement was putting fiscal gasoline on a raging fire of debt. No one who voted for it can even be faintly described as conservative. Then there's simple pork and corruption. The last transportation bill had over 6,000 earmarks in it. Reagan vetoed a bill because it had 150 earmarks in it. That was when the GOP was conservative. What Bush-DeLay-Hastert-Frist are about is not fiscal conservatism in any recognizable form. They are about borrowing vast amounts of money from Asian banks, spending more liberally than any Democratic Congress since FDR, and using it to bribe voters in gerry-mandered districts to keep themselves in power.

They have become what they once opposed. Which is why it is time to kick them out.